Mr. Powell and Ms. Brainard have spoken repeatedly of the importance of keeping an open mind on how strong the labor market can get, and of the human costs of pre-emptively cutting off a jobs recovery. They will be loath to take any action that might stop further healing in the job market.
It is Mr. Powell’s focus on achieving as strong a job market as possible that probably secured his renomination, against the wishes of many progressives. While acknowledging his commitment to full employment, many on the left — and at least three Democratic senators — had wanted a candidate with a more agreeable philosophy on regulating the financial system and using the Fed’s powers to try to fight climate change.
So what did Mr. Biden gain with his choice for continuity in the top two jobs at the central bank, a move that has disappointed key allies on the left?
Mr. Powell and Ms. Brainard are known quantities. Now, a newly minted central banker won’t have to face the typical bumps that come with starting in the world’s most important economic policy job. Mr. Powell and his predecessors Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke each had difficult communications miscues in their early months.
The decision to reappoint Mr. Powell, a Republican and former private equity executive who was named to lead the Fed by President Trump, is also a mild gesture of bipartisanship. His Senate confirmation should be a notch easier than alternatives. This is assuming enough Republican senators vote to confirm him to make up for defections on the left, including those telegraphed by Senators Elizabeth Warren, Jeff Merkley and Sheldon Whitehouse.
Notably, Mr. Biden did not accompany his nominations of Mr. Powell and Ms. Brainard with two other key Fed nominations: for a vice-chair for supervision or an open governor’s seat. The president will come under intense pressure from the left to use those vacancies to include candidates with a more aggressive regulatory bent and to add racial diversity to the seven-member Board of Governors. (All six current members are white.)
None of that changes the basic discomfort in which the Powell Fed now finds itself.
Inflation, for now at least, is far above the Fed’s 2 percent target, and the job market is strengthening rapidly. Yet its monetary policies look like those from 2014, when the labor market was limping along and inflation was below the Fed’s goals.