While Wagner’s numbers are tiny compared with the more than 150,000 troops that Mr. Putin amassed on Ukraine’s borders and eventually sent into the country, their presence is an indication that Mr. Putin is taking a page from his playbook in 2014, when the Kremlin deployed Russian mercenaries, mostly veterans of the Russian military, to augment the forces of rebel fighters in eastern Ukraine.
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Earlier this year, Western intelligence services detected the first small groups of Wagner mercenaries leaving Libya and Syria and arriving in Russian-controlled Crimea. From there, they filtered into the rebel territories.
But their initial performance on the battlefield was decidedly inauspicious, as they faced stiffer-than-expected resistance from Ukrainian soldiers. As many as 200 Russian mercenaries have been killed as of late February, the U.S. official said.
The initial purpose of the deployment of the mercenaries was the subject of debate. Some European and American officials said the mercenaries were positioned in the rebel territories to engage in sabotage and stage false flag operations intended to make it seem as if Ukrainian forces were attacking civilian targets.
Russia-Ukraine War: Key Developments
Card 1 of 4On the ground. Ukraine’s counteroffensive appeared to be gaining momentum, with the military hitting Russian targets and claiming territorial gains. Their progress underscores Russia’s flawed execution of the invasion, amid supply shortages and demoralizing conditions for its soldiers.
Biden in Europe. President Biden is currently in Poland, after a day of summits with world leaders in Brussels. During his visit, he plans to highlight the humanitarian catastrophe in Ukraine by meeting with people who have fled to escape the fighting.
Weaning off Russian fuel. President Biden and European leaders announced a deal to increase U.S. shipments of natural gas to help make Europe less dependent on Russian energy. European Union countries also agreed to jointly buy and store gas, a move that could increase their bargaining power.
Possible use of weapons of mass destruction. NATO allies agreed to provide Ukraine with support to deal with fallout from a possible Russian attack using chemical, biological or nuclear weapons. The alliance also said it was increasing its own preparedness for any such event.
But a Ukrainian military official said just before the invasion began that the mercenaries were primarily brought in to fill out the ranks of the separatist forces, to make it seem like local fighters were leading the charge.
Now the mercenaries are taking on a more direct combat and leadership role in eastern Ukraine, the U.S. official said.
In 2017, the Trump administration placed sanctions on Dmitri Utkin, the founder of the Wagner Group, for his role in recruiting soldiers to join separatist forces in Ukraine. In 2021, a United Nations report found that mercenaries from Wagner based in the Central African Republic had killed civilians, looted homes and fatally shot worshipers at a mosque.