“This is not a moment to wait and see,” Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield said in a statement on Thursday.
Understand Russia’s Relationship With the West
The tension between the regions is growing and Russian President Vladimir Putin is increasingly willing to take geopolitical risks and assert his demands.
- Competing for Influence: For months, the threat of confrontation has been growing in a stretch of Europe from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea.
- Threat of Invasion: As the Russian military builds its presence near Ukraine, Western nations are seeking to avert a worsening of the situation.
- Energy Politics: Europe is a huge customer of Russia’s fossil fuels. The rising tensions in Ukraine are driving fears of a midwinter cutoff.
- Migrant Crisis: As people gathered on the eastern border of the European Union, Russia's uneasy alliance with Belarus triggered additional friction.
- Militarizing Society: With a “youth army” and initiatives promoting patriotism, the Russian government is pushing the idea that a fight might be coming.
The United States is not relying on diplomacy alone. It has put 8,500 troops on alert to be deployed to Eastern Europe, sent defensive weapons to Ukraine, and is negotiating to divert natural gas from other suppliers if Russia cuts off pipelines that supply Germany and other countries.
“We had a low point in terms of trust and mutual respect last summer because of the Afghanistan breakdown,” said Wolfgang Ischinger, a former German ambassador to Washington. Now, he said, “no one can complain that there isn’t a renewed sense of American leadership.”
Mr. Biden’s handling of the crisis has not been without missteps: His recent statement that a “minor incursion” by Russia would provoke a different response from the West than an invasion angered Ukraine and alarmed European governments, especially those bordering Russia. It necessitated a hurried cleanup operation by the White House.
Europeans worry about Mr. Biden’s staying power, the potential return of former President Donald J. Trump, and the resolve of the United States, for which Ukraine is not an on-the-doorstep crisis as it is for Europe. Some believe Mr. Putin is exploiting the same perceived vulnerabilities on both sides of the ocean.
“He senses weakness in Biden and a certain amount of political churn in Europe,” said Ian Bond, a former British diplomat who is now head of foreign policy at the Center for European Reform, a London research group. “Germany has a new government finding its feet, French elections, U.K. not in great shape, Europe emerging from pandemic. I think he does see Biden as a quite weak transitional figure.”